Category Archives: Newsletter

Monthly real estate newsletter featuring articles about San Diego County real estate

San Diego Real Estate Newsletter – December 2017 – Pete Saxon Realty

November 30, 2017

Market taking a pause?

After years of posting similar stories about rising prices due to low inventory and low interest rates it may be that the market has reached its peak or may just be taking a pause. In San Diego the median sales price dropped almost $20,000 from June of 2016. I’m seeing price reductions on the MLS for the first time in a while. It will be a month or two before we know if dropping prices is a trend. My guess is that it’s a leveling off and a real estate bubble bursting.

Price Reduced

Poway Home For Sale
Poway Home For Sale by Pete Saxon Realty

Lots of potential in this three bedroom, two bath, 1066 sq. ft. twin home. Walk to elementary school. Close to shopping, dining and entertainment. Now offered for $499,000 by Pete Saxon Realty

More Info
November 29, 2017

San Diego median home price up 4.4%

Phillip Molnar of the San Diego Union-Tribune reports on CoreLogic data showing San Diego County home prices have increased 4.4%  to $529,750 over October of last year. However, median prices have dropped below the all time high of $545,000 reached in June of this year.

November 28, 2017

San Diego third only to Seattle and Vegas

The S&P Case-Shiller 20 City Indices ranked San Diego County third in the country for price appreciation in September 2017 reports the San Diego Union-Tribune. San Diego home prices have risen 8.2% in a year.

Less expensive homes appreciate faster

There’s a well known cliche in real estate, “Buy the smallest, least expensive home in the best neighborhood” if you want the most appreciation. Diana Olick of CNBC writes about how lower priced homes are appreciating faster than their more expensive neighbors.

San Diego Real Estate Newsletter – November 2017 – Pete Saxon Realty

Coming Soon

Poway Home For Sale
Poway Home For Sale by Pete Saxon Realty

Midland Grove three bedroom, two bath single level twin home. Walk to elementary school, and Old Poway Park. Close to shopping, dining and entertainment.

October 31, 2017

County home prices up 7.8%

“San Diego had the third highest annual home price increase in the nation in August,” according to S&P Case-Shiller Indices and reported in the San Diego Union-Tribune. “Only Seattle and Las Vegas had bigger increases in the 20-city index.”

20 city home price index at all-time high

“The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller home price index rose more than expected in August, hitting an all-time high,” reports CNBC. “The latest report was a gain from the 5.9 percent increase in July.”

October 30, 2017

U.S. home prices slow first time buyers

“Home sales to first-time buyers dipped to 34 percent in 2017, the National Association of Realtors says,” reports Diana Olick of CNBC.  Her report continues,  “A big reason is the rise in student debt, which is crimping the finances of aspirational homeowners.”

October 24, 2017

Median Home Price Unchanged

San Diego County’s median home price was $535,000 in September, unchanged from August reports the San Diego Union-Tribune. “Sales hit a three-year low for September throughout Southern California, but the median home price was up 9.8 percent in a year in September to $505,000. The largest increase was in Orange County, at 10.9 percent, to a median of $710,000.”

October 20, 2017

U.S. existing-home sales up 0.7%

The National Association of REALTORS  reports, “Completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, rose 0.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.39 million in September from 5.35 million in August. Last month’s sales pace is 1.5 percent below a year ago and is the second slowest over the past year (behind August).”

October 12, 2017

Sales, prices slower pace in 2018

The California Association of REALTORS predicts, “With the economy expected to continue growing, housing demand should remain strong and incrementally boost California’s housing market in 2018, though a shortage of available homes for sale and affordability constraints will be a challenge,”

 

 

San Diego Real Estate Newsletter – October 2017

September 27, 2016

U.S. pending home sales drop 2.6%

“A monthly index measuring signed contracts to buy existing homes fell 2.6 percent in August compared to July. That is the fifth drop in the past six months and below expectations,” according to the National Association of REALTORS as reported by CNN. We are missing the “move-up” market which is the backbone of the real estate market. We are still liquidating a large percentage of investor owned properties.

September 26, 2017

San Diego sets pace in July

San Diego Union-Tribune reports, “San Diego County home prices rose the most in California at 7.1 percent in a year, said the S&P Case-Shiller Indices, which are adjusted for seasonal swings. Nationwide home prices increased 5.9 percent in the same period, which was led by growth in the Pacific Northwest. Los Angeles and Orange counties increased 6.1 percent and San Francisco by 6.7 percent.”

U.S. home prices up more than predicted

Bloomberg reports on the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller survey of housing in 20 U.S. cities that show, “Buyers are competing for a limited number of for-sale homes, allowing sellers to boost asking prices. Property values are consistently outpacing wage growth, helping explain why the share of first-time buyers of previously owned homes in August was at a one-year low. At the same time, owners’ equity as a share of total real-estate holdings climbed in the second quarter to the highest level in 11 years.”

September 25, 2017

Fewer listings mean new price peaks

The San Diego Union-Tribune reports housing statistics on the first half of 2017 which shows the continuing trend of low inventory driving up selling prices in San Diego County. “Most notably, the number of homes for sale dropped sharply this year. There were 28,725 home listings in the first half, down from 33,890 the same time in 2016, said the Greater San Diego Association of Realtors.”

September 22, 2017

Triple housing production needed

“San Diego needs to roughly triple the number of homes it builds each year to keep up with demand and keep prices down, said a San Diego Housing Commission report ,” according to a story in the San Diego Union-Tribune. My question is  where?  The commission talks about increasing density in various ways because there is no more develop-able land in San Diego. I wish the politicians good luck with that if hey want to be re-elected.

September 21, 2017

57% would move due to housing expense

“More than half of registered voters in San Diego and Orange counties have considered leaving California because of high housing costs, said a poll from U.C. Berkeley’s governmental studies school,” write Phillip Molnar in the San Diego Union-Tribune. In the last couple of years I have worked with clients who have moved to Arizona, Wyoming and Idaho due to housing costs and quality of live issues in Southern California.

September 20, 2017

County median resale  price $585,000

CoreLogic statistics reported by the San Diego Union-Tribune indicate that the median price for a resale home in San Diego County was up 6.4% in August compared to last year.

September 16, 2017

Hey, wait a minute!

Diana Olick of CNBC reports on a “new” flat fee listing company. I’ve been offering flat fee listings for years. Real estates because of location, price, terms, condition and accessibility – not because of the name on the for sale sign.

San Diego Real Estate Newsletter – September 2017

August 31, 2017

360 degree listing videos

I’ve started creating 360 degree videos of my listings. The first is a video of a residential building lot overlooking Lake Hodges. This is new technology and the videos will improve as the cameras and editing software develop.

Local home building down from last year

“In the first six months of 2017, the county has issued 17.5 percent fewer permits than the same time last year,” reports Phillip Molnar of the San Diego Union-Tribune. “A lack of new homes pushes up prices because of fierce competition for a limited number of houses and condos. While higher home values are good for owners in most cases, it can make home ownership out of reach for many potential buyers.”

August 30, 2017

Closed Sale – Encinitas

Home For Sale Encinitas Ranch
Home For Sale Encinitas Ranch

Encinitas Ranch three bedroom, two and one-half bath with 2,114 sq.ft.  on premiere lot. Ocean and golf course views. Sold in one week for $1,070,000.00.

Appraisal rules loosened

According to a story by WTOL, “The nation’s two largest loan backers, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, are loosening their rules when it comes to lending. The mortgage giants are now allowing for home appraisals to be waived on certain loans.”

August 29, 2017

U.S. buyers compete for limited supply

Diana Olick of CNBC reports on how the drop in housing supply is driving up prices or resale homes across the U.S. “After flattening slightly in May, price increases jumped again in June, now up 5.8 percent nationally compared with a year ago, according to the latest release from S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller.”

Oh No! San Diego prices drop…

“The San Diego median home price cooled slightly in July, ending a three-month streak of record-breaking peaks,” writes Phillip Molnar of the San Diego Union-Tribune. But that’s comparing June to July of 2017. The media always goes for the negative news to promote fear and anxiety. San Diego home prices were up 8.6% from June of last year but that’s not the headline they choose.

August 14, 2017

Buyers use smaller down payments

CNBC’s Diana Olick reports that “In the past 12 months, 1.5 million borrowers bought their homes with down payments of less than 10 percent, marking a seven-year high.” But as far as I’m concerned Yogi Berra said it best, “it’s deje vu all over again.” I’ve read this headline at least four other times in my 40 year real estate career. If there is a small hiccup in market values these home buyers can be upside down on their home loans pretty quickly. In our new culture upside down home buyers walk away from their loan obligations, the banks take the properties and the housing bubble starts all over again. Not to worry, Uncle Sam will bail us out.

August 9, 2017

San Diego affordability rate is 26%

“San Diego was one of the most expensive regions for home buyers in California in the second quarter of this year, with just 26 percent able to comfortably purchase the median-priced house,” reports The San Diego-Union Tribune. According to the article, lack of construction of new residential properties is a primary factor driving San Diego home prices higher.

August 6, 2017

Affordable new homes in Chula Vista

San Diego Union-Tribune story by Phillip Molnar discusses new home buying opportunities in Chula Vista’s Otay Ranch, “a new 1,504-square-foot townhouse for $378,000, around $200,000 less than what something similar would have cost them closer to downtown.”

Pete Saxon Realty Newsletter – August 2017

July 31, 2017

Here’s why resale inventory is so low

Trulia has an excellent article explaining the low number of homes for sale across the U.S. Two factors on their  list and probably the main reasons San Diego’s inventory is so low are new home construction and investor ownership.

July 28, 2017

San Diego home building picking up

San Diego Union-Tribune article discusses San Diego economist Alan Gin’s report on jump in residential building permits. “June’s jump was the largest monthly increase since March 2005, but permits are still 17 percent behind last year’s numbers.” This is good news but several years away from having an effect on housing availability.

Sellers see highest profit in 10 years

CNBC’s Diana Olick reports that across the U.S,, “The average tenure of a homeowner who sold in the second quarter of this year came in at just over eight years,” which helped increase their equity and profit. I remember when the working theory in San Diego was that homes turned over every 5 to 7 years. The article states that people are selling and moving now because they are uncertain if they will be able to find a replacement property since inventory is so low.

July 26,2017

San Diego median price now $543,500

Phillip Molnar of the San Diego Union-Tribune reports on CoreLogic’s statistics, “San Diego County’s median home price hit another record in June with an imbalance of supply and demand continuing to push costs up.” Mr. Molnar’s article had a very interesting quote from economist Chris Thornberg, “prices will continue to increase in San Diego because affluent buyers, such as tech workers or researchers, are willing to pay top dollar for scarce housing. ‘Home prices are not set on the basis of average income in a community,’ he said. ‘Home prices are set on the basis of the average buyer. When you have a lack of housing — how most of coastal California does, like San Diego — the people who want to move there are willing to pay.”’

July 24, 2017

U.S. sales off 1.8%

Forbes reports that existing home sales in June slowed by 1.8% when compared to May but were up .7% over a year ago. I just love how the media picks the negative statistic to make their headline.

July 22, 2017

Pending Sale in Encinitas

Home For Sale Encinitas Ranch
Home For Sale Encinitas Ranch

Encinitas Ranch three bedroom, two and one-half bath with 2,114 sq.ft.  on premiere lot. Ocean and golf course views. Offered in a range of $990,000.00 – $1,170,000.00.

More Information

July 21, 2017

San Diego housing crisis analyzed

Dan McSwain of the San Diego Union-Tribune analyzes the root causes and their effects on the San Diego regions housing availability and affordability. San Diego has an inventory shortage which is dramatically driving up prices. The cause? “Glaeser and Wharton economist Joseph Gyourko found that zoning and land use controls were the dominant forces driving up housing costs.” Government is the cause.

July 15, 2017

Prop. 13 reform?

San Diego Union-Tribune article discusses, ” real estate leaders are proposing to amend Proposition 13 to give homeowners a tax break when they sell and thus generate more supply and reduce pressure on prices.” The premise of the story is that home owners aren’t selling and “moving up” because of the increased property tax bill they would incur in a more expensive home. I don’t agree. People aren’t selling and moving up because of their sense of insecurity caused by the political activities in Sacramento and Washington. Also, there is no wage growth in San Diego County for first time buyers that creates a “move up” market.

July 9, 2017

Falling inventory across U.S.

“The number of starter homes on the market dropped by 15.6%, while the share of starter homes dropped from 23% to 22.1%,” according to a story on Trulia’s Trends Blog. Without starter homes for first time buyers then there is no “move up” market which traditionally drives healthy real estate markets.

Pete Saxon Realty Newsletter – July 2017

June 30, 2017

Ownership hits 50 year low

“The downward trend of home ownership began with the housing bubble burst and subsequent recession starting in late 2007, which resulted in as many as 10 million families losing their homes to foreclosure nationwide, according to the National Center for Policy Analysis. Not only were homeowners unable to pay off existing mortgages, but younger people entering the workforce for the first time were unable to qualify for mortgages, as lenders had to restrict lending practices dramatically,” according to CNBC.

June 29, 2017

County prices outpace U.S. and CA

“Low mortgage rates and lack of homes for sale throughout the nation are continuing to push prices up, wrote David Blitzer, managing chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices, in the monthly report.” The San Diego Union-Tribune reports that San Diego County home prices increased 6.6% while prices increased 5.5% nationwide.

June 28, 2017

U.S. pending sales off for third month

Lack of inventory in the affordable price ranges across the country is still having a negative impact on pending home sales according to the National Association of REALTORS.  “Pending home sales in the South declined 1.2 percent to an index of 123.4 in May and are now 1.4 percent below last May. The index in the West subsided 1.3 percent in May to 98.6, and is now 4.5 percent below a year ago.  ”

California pending sales off for fifth month

” California pending home sales fell for the fifth consecutive month, suggesting the state’s housing market may underperform over the next few months, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported. Pending sales in San Diego, San Bernardino, and Los Angeles counties declined from last May, but those counties had drops of less than 5 percent.” It’s all about inventory. How many For Sale signs have you noticed in your neighborhood?

Mortgage application drop 6%

Diana Olick of CNBC reports that, “Mortgage rates have been sitting at a six-month low for the past month, barely moving, but mortgage demand is still shrinking. Total application volume fell 6.2 percent last week, compared to the previous week. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted application index is now down 17 percent compared to the same week one year ago.” It’s not so much that buyers aren’t ready to buy, there’s just no inventory.”

June 21, 2017

County median price hits $530,000

“The San Diego County median home price hit $530,000 in May, breaking the nominal record set last month and increasing 8.2 percent in a year, real estate tracker CoreLogic reported,”  reports the San Diego Union-Tribune.

June 14, 2017

1% down payment mortgage

So, here we go again. The San Diego Union-Tribune reports on a new mortgage offering by Guild Mortgage that allows for a 1% down payment. These very highly leveraged loans can be a problem when real estate values slip just a little bit creating “underwater” loans.

San Diego Real Estate Newsletter – May 2017

April 30, 2017

New Listing – Carlsbad

Home For Sale - Carlsbad, CA
Home For Sale – Carlsbad, CA

IMMACULATE, Turn Key Carlsbad home. Five bedrooms, four and one half bath with 3,725 sq.ft. Home includes custom kitchen, upgraded cabinetry, canned lighting, large great room with ample sunlight and gas fireplace.

More Information
Video

County median price $515,000

The San Diego Union-Tribune states, ” San Diego County median home price reached $515,000 in March, its highest point in a decade and a 7.7 percent increase in a year,” as reported by CoreLogic. The highest median price reported in San Diego County was $517,500 in 2005 before the real estate collapse.

April 26, 2017

Buyer frustration drops demand in U.S.

CNBC’s Diana Olick reports that, “It may be the strongest seller’s market ever, but buyer frustration is now taking its toll. Some would-be shoppers are even choosing to sit the spring market out. Demand from homebuyers fell 14 percent in March from February…”

Best U.S. housing investments for 2017

Forbes compiled a list of their top 20 areas in the U.S. to invest in residential real estate. San Diego comes in at number 14.

California pending sales slip

“Even with a strong performance in March closed escrow sales, a shortage of available homes and robust price growth that’s eating away at affordability stifled pending home sales for the third straight month, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.),” reported. In San Diego County homes priced under $700,000.00 sell almost immediately if they are priced reasonably and in fair to good condition. Homes above $700,000.00 move a bit more slowly.

April 21, 2017

U.S. existing home sales up 4.4%

National Association of REALTORS article states, ” Existing-home sales took off in March to their highest pace in over 10 years, and severe supply shortages resulted in the typical home coming off the market significantly faster than in February and a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Only the West saw a decline in sales activity in March. ”

Mortgage rates lower but “so what?”

“You can say (low mortgage rates) are a boon for buyers, but there’s a problem with that — there’s nothing to buy,” says economist Matthew Gardner in a San Diego Union-Tribune article. This is a great time to be a home seller because there’s just not much competition from other homes for sale.

San Diego Real Estate Newsletter – April 2017

April 1, 2017

Poway’s Potato Chip Rock breaks!

“Jutting from the side of Mt Woodson, 2,000 feet above Lake Poway, Potato Chip Rock is a world famous hiking destination. Tens of thousands of photos on the web prove its popularity. But ultimately that popularity was its downfall… literally. Friday afternoon a seven-foot section, the tip of the chip, snapped off and fell to the lake below making quite a splash,” reports powaynow.com.

March 29, 2017

County home price appreciation 5.7%

This San Diego Union-Tribune article discusses the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices for January which indicates that, “Of the 20 major regions followed by the indices, San Diego ranked No.14 in January — above Los Angeles, Phoenix, Cleveland and other markets.”

U.S. pending homes sales up 5.5%

Diana Olick of CNBC reports that, “A monthly index of signed sales contracts to buy existing homes rose 5.5 percent for the month and is 2.6 percent higher compared with February 2016, according to the National Association of Realtors. This is the second-fastest pace in more than a decade.”

March 28, 2017

U.S. home prices reach 31-month high

“The S&P/Case Shiller 20-city composite index, which tracks the nation’s largest cities, gained 5.7 percent year-over-year in January, up from 5.5 percent the previous month,” according to CNBC.

March 22, 2017

U.S. home sales slip 3.7%

REUTERS reports that, “U.S. home resales fell more than expected in February amid a persistent shortage of houses on the market that is pushing up prices and sidelining potential buyers.”

County home prices up 8.1%

“The San Diego County median home price dropped 1 percent in February to $492,000,” according to San Diego Union-Tribune. Home prices in San Diego increased 8.1% over the preceding year.

March 16, 2017

Mortgage rates up

“The average 30-year mortgage rate climbed to 4.30% from 4.21% last week, mortgage buyer Freddie Mac said Thursday. That is up from 3.73%,” according to USAToday. I believe this will be a trend over the next few years as the Federal Reserve releases its grip on artificially depressed interest rates.

March 15, 2017

San Diego 7th happiest in U.S.

Patch.com reports, “Two cities in San Diego County were recently ranked among the top happiest places to live in the United States by WalletHub.”

March 14, 2017

San Diego on “worst” list

“San Diego is the second worst market for renters in the country. That’s the word from Forbes’ 2017 ranking of 46 metropolitan areas, where only Miami is worse,” according to Forbes and reported in the San Diego Union-Tribune. . Now, if you were writing an article for a real estate investors magazine the headline would be, “San Diego BEST for owning income properties.”

March 9, 2017

Mortgage rates rise

“The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.21%, up 11 basis points during the week. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.42%, up from 3.32%.,”  according to MarketWatch. This is going to be a common theme for the next few years as the economy continues to improve and function on its own without the support of artificially low interest rates.

March 6, 2017

Where millennials want to live

” A pair of studies released this week suggests that the majority of millennials want to live in the suburbs, have already started buying outside urban areas, and base their home buying decisions mainly on affordability,” reports Phillip Molnar of the San Diego Union-Tribune.

San Diego Real Estate Newsletter – March 2017

February 27, 2017

Listing Sold – Escondido

Home For Sale Escondido
Home For Sale Escondido

Beautiful three bedroom, three bath, 2,598 sq.ft. executive home on 1.75 acres. Attached guest quarters includes bath and kitchenette. Offered for $889,000 by Pete Saxon Realty.

February 22, 2017

U.S. resales at 10 year high

Business Insider reports that, “Sales of existing condos, coops, townhomes, and single-family houses increased by 3.3% at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.69 million, the highest since February 2007. Economists had estimated that sales rose 1.1% at a rate of 5.55 million, according to Bloomberg.”

February 20, 2017

Percentage of income for housing slightly higher

The San Diego Reader article by Don Bauder reports that, “Despite the staggering rise in San Diego home prices (the median is more than $500,000), the percentage of your income going to your mortgage is only a little bit higher than it was in the 1985–2000 period.” Interestingly, renters pay an average of 42% of their income for housing.

February 17, 2017

Are higher rates slowing housing?

The Wall Street Journal story suggests that. “Higher interest rates already are taking a toll on the U.S. housing market.” That may be partially true but as the article goes on to report fewer people moved setting a record low. People are most likely to purchase homes when they are feeling confident about their circumstances and not solely on current interest rates. We sold a lot of homes in the 1980’s when interest rates were well above 10%.

February 11, 2017

San Diego County prices by zip code

The San Diego Union-Tribune published two slide shows reporting the San Diego County Zip codes where prices went down in 2016 and zip codes where prices have increased since 2003. An interesting zip code is Coronado 92118 which ranked as #6 in both surveys. Home prices have gone up since 2003 in Coronado by 64.9% but in 2016 they actually fell by 3.92%.

Closed Sale – Poway

Pending Sale - Poway Pending Sale – Poway

Summerfield Estates four bedroom, two bath with 1,750 sq.ft on quiet cul-de-sac. Offered for $650,000.00.